Make every decision inspectable.
Our method is built around a simple requirement: a future reviewer should be able to see what was known, what was inferred, what was expected, and why a particular action was chosen.
1. Source hierarchy
Start with primary, attributable material: regulatory filings, company releases, official transcripts or recordings, and regulator or government datasets. Secondary research is used to surface disagreement and context, not to replace the underlying record.
Every material source should retain its publisher, document date, relevant period, URL, and an as-of date where freshness matters.
2. Evidence and expectations
Evidence is what the record supports now. Expectations are the operating or market outcomes that appear necessary in the future. Thesis keeps those categories separate so a forecast cannot quietly acquire the authority of a fact.
Interpretations and scenarios are labeled as such. Unknowns remain unknown rather than being filled with false precision.
3. Scenario and falsifier design
A base case is not a prediction. It belongs beside explicit upside and downside cases, each driven by a small set of variables. Falsifiers are chosen in advance and connected to an observable source or event.
The research conclusion may still be no position when uncertainty, expectations, liquidity, or downside do not fit the available risk budget.
4. Structure and safety boundary
Research and trade expression are reviewed separately. Any modeled structure must be re-priced with current broker data and checked for instrument, size, limit, duration, and maximum modeled loss.
Thesis supports paper execution only. Public articles are educational research process material and do not submit orders.
5. Updates and corrections
Material changes update the modification date and should identify what changed. A correction is appended to the affected article when a factual statement, citation, or calculation needs repair.
Send a correction with the article URL and supporting source through the Contact page. We do not silently rewrite a material error.